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Powell warns economy could face more frequent 'supply shocks'

1. Fed Chair Powell suggests need for policy adjustments due to supply shocks. 2. Higher future policy rates predicted due to inflation and supply volatility. 3. Current policy rate sits between 4.25% to 4.5% amid recession concerns. 4. Long-term inflation expectations will remain a key focus for Fed policy. 5. The Fed revises its framework to better handle potential economic turmoil.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

Higher future policy rates can suppress market liquidity, affecting stock valuations. In past periods, such as the early 2010s, tightening monetary policy correlatively impacted S&P 500 downturns.

How important is it?

The Fed's discourse on policy shifts and inflation management is central to market performance, hence has significant implications for S&P 500 valuations.

Why Long Term?

Projected adjustments in policy may have lasting implications on interest rates and market behavior. Long-term historical trends show lasting impacts from shifts in Fed policy.

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