Recession Risk In Autumn 2025 Rising With Tariff Uncertainty

1. Recession risk has decreased, but tariff uncertainty remains a concern. 2. Employment gains are solid, but tariffs could reduce consumer purchasing power. 3. If tariffs uncertainty persists, the economy could enter a mild recession. 4. Potential interest rate cuts by the Fed are unlikely despite inflation concerns. 5. Businesses should plan for both growth and recession scenarios.