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Recession? Stagflation? GDP decline a warning sign, but economy not in danger zone yet. - MarketWatch

1. GDP shrank 0.3%, marking the first contraction in three years. 2. Consumer income and spending continue to rise, countering recession fears. 3. Unemployment remains low at 4.2%, supporting consumer behavior. 4. Trade deficits due to tariffs may boost GDP in the upcoming quarter. 5. Economists warn of increased recession risks if trade uncertainty persists.

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FAQ

Why Bullish?

Despite GDP contraction, sustained consumer income and low unemployment suggest stability. Historical data shows consumer spending often prevails, supporting market performance.

How important is it?

The article highlights economic resilience amid contraction, influencing DJIA sentiment positively. Factors like employment and spending are pivotal in determining future market conditions.

Why Short Term?

Immediate indicators, such as consumer spending, are stable; however, trade uncertainties may impact future performance. Similar past instances showed short-term resilience before longer-term challenges emerged.

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