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The Guardian
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Revealed: how Wall Street is making millions betting against green laws

1. Financial speculators are increasingly investing in lawsuits against governments. 2. ISDS allows corporations to sue countries for profit impacts. 3. The average award from ISDS cases reached $385 million in 2024. 4. Fossil fuel and mining companies dominate ISDS cases, facing developing countries. 5. The litigation finance industry is booming, now worth $17.5 billion.

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Why Bullish?

The rise of ISDS cases, especially affecting key industries, may lead to favorable corporate outcomes, boosting investor confidence and potentially enhancing S&P 500 performance. Historical interpretations show similar trends when litigation resolved favorably for corporations, prompting upticks in stock prices.

How important is it?

The high stakes of ISDS lawsuits impact key sectors within the S&P 500, providing a potential revenue boost for companies involved. As litigation finance becomes more mainstream, the implications for major firms could shape market dynamics over time.

Why Long Term?

The ongoing trend of investor-state disputes could take years to influence stock prices as cases are resolved and payouts materialize, similar to the gradual impact seen from major corporate litigations in years past.

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