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Stock Markets Agree Rate Cuts Are Coming. How Far the Fed Will Go.

1. Fed Beige Book shows economic activity stagnating across most districts. 2. High consumer sentiment despite a slow labor market and upcoming job report. 3. Market expects a quarter-point rate cut with 98% probability this month. 4. Tariff impacts are concerning for public companies amid pricing issues. 5. Major workforce cuts expected from ConocoPhillips as demand lags.

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FAQ

Why Bullish?

Anticipated rate cuts typically support equity markets and can drive SPY higher. Historical instances, like 2019 cuts, show market rallies following Fed easing.

How important is it?

The Federal Reserve's decisions influence interest rates, affecting SPY significantly through immediate market reactions and investor sentiment.

Why Short Term?

Immediate market reactions likely with upcoming Fed decisions and job reports affecting SPY quickly. Previous cuts have shown rapid market responses.

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