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Tariff Shock Reverberates in the Bond Market

1. Long-term Treasury yields are rising amid inflation uncertainty. 2. The Fed's rate-cut ability may be complicated by yield divergence. 3. Rebounding stocks face bond market pressure. 4. Mortgage rates remain high, complicating economic growth efforts. 5. Policymakers cautious due to bond market volatility.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

Rising long-term Treasury yields indicate potential economic uncertainty, impacting equity investor confidence. Historical examples show that high yields often correlate with stock market corrections.

How important is it?

The divergence in Treasury yields directly affects consumer borrowing costs and investor confidence, influencing S&P 500 valuations.

Why Short Term?

Yield fluctuations affect market sentiment rapidly; history shows earnings are sensitive to borrowing costs in the near term.

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