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Tariffs Either Can't, Won't, Or Shouldn't Re-shore Manufacturing Jobs

1. Supreme Court may decide on Trump's power for global tariffs. 2. Tariffs could cost U.S. consumers $1.06 billion on coffee and spices. 3. Higher tariffs might reduce consumption or increase costs for consumers. 4. Manufacturing output in U.S. is already robust, growing by 12% since 2020. 5. Current tariffs threaten higher-paying U.S. jobs, balancing low-cost production.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

Increased tariffs typically lead to higher consumer prices, dampening economic growth. Historical examples include the 2018 tariffs that negatively affected S&P 500 companies reliant on imports, which saw stock prices tumble.

How important is it?

The significance of tariff discussions carries weight as it directly influences consumer spending, inflation, and corporate profitability within the S&P 500.

Why Short Term?

The immediate effects of tariffs will be felt quickly through increased consumer costs and reduced spending. The S&P 500 may see downward pressure as consumers adjust to new pricing structures within this fiscal year.

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