The probability of a recession is approaching 50%, Deutsche markets survey finds
1. There's a 43% chance of U.S. recession within 12 months. 2. Federal Reserve lowers GDP growth estimate to 1.7%, the worst since 2011. 3. Rising inflation outlook at 2.8% heightens stagflation concerns. 4. Market experts see recession risk at 50%-60%, impacting investor sentiment. 5. Uncertainty over tariff policies contributes to equity market corrections.