Traders bet against recession as Trump's economic policies continue to show remarkable strength
1. Traders see a 21% chance of U.S. recession, up from 19%. 2. Optimism rises despite fiscal impacts of Trump's tax and spending bill. 3. Kalshi predictions indicate resilience in the U.S. economy. 4. Kevin Hassett affirms no recession in 2025, citing strong job growth. 5. Trade negotiations add complexity to the economic outlook.