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Trump's next Fed chair pick already comes with a credibility problem

1. Trump considers naming a 'shadow chair' for the Fed, increasing market uncertainty. 2. Investors worry about potential loss of Fed independence affecting monetary policy decisions. 3. Rate cuts of 2% may raise inflation fears, impacting Treasury yields and stocks. 4. Current Fed chair Powell's credibility could be undermined by Trump's influence. 5. Markets await insights from the upcoming FOMC minutes release.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

Market uncertainty around a 'shadow chair' could disrupt investor confidence, reminiscent of 2016 volatility.

How important is it?

Potential disruptions to Fed policy significantly affect market expectations and S&P dynamics.

Why Short Term?

Immediate market reactions expected around announcements, influencing trading sentiments quickly.

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