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U.S.-China Trade War Morphs From Tariffs Into Fight Over Supply Chain

1. U.S.-China trade conflict now focuses on global supply chains. 2. U.S. suspended sales to China of key tech components. 3. China restricts rare earth minerals exports, impacting U.S. manufacturing. 4. Jet engine technology relies on both U.S. and Chinese resources. 5. Trade tensions have increased alarm among various industries.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

The evolving trade conflict may lead to supply chain disruptions, reminiscent of the 2018 tariffs impact on S&P 500. Similar historical tensions have led to broader market declines due to uncertainty and operational challenges for multinational companies.

How important is it?

Given the interconnected global supply chains and reliance on U.S.-China trade, this article highlights significant risks that could influence major S&P 500 constituents like Boeing or General Electric.

Why Long Term?

Ongoing trade disturbances can create prolonged uncertainty, affecting investment decisions for months or years. Historical patterns show that extended trade wars dampen economic growth, influencing S&P 500 over a longer timescale.

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