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U.S. economy still vulnerable to tariff shocks, IMF says, and labor shortages tied to immigration crackdown could also sting

1. IMF reports dim economic prospects for U.S. and global economies. 2. U.S. growth expected at 2.8% this year, slowing to 2% by 2026. 3. Increased tariffs and labor shortages could elevate inflation. 4. GDP surged to 3.8% annual rate, but front-loaded spending may decline. 5. Decline in immigration could lead to labor shortages and wage increases.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

The projected slowdown in economic growth and inflation concerns could negatively impact SPY. Historical examples show that increased tariffs led to stock market volatility, emphasizing the potential bearishness ahead.

How important is it?

The article addresses significant economic forecasts impacting consumer behavior and corporate investment, directly influencing SPY's performance. These factors are crucial for investors looking for reliable indicators of future market trends.

Why Long Term?

The economic slowdowns projected for 2026 indicate ongoing challenges for SPY investments. As these trends become apparent, they will likely affect market sentiment and investment strategies.

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