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US economy shrank 0.5% in the first quarter of 2025 amid tariff uncertainty

1. U.S. GDP contracted at an annual rate of 0.5%. 2. Economists expected a contraction of only 0.2%. 3. This is the first quarterly contraction since Q1 2022. 4. Increase in imports and decrease in government spending drove the decline. 5. Consumer spending partially offset the negative trends.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

A GDP contraction signals economic slowdown, negatively influencing investor sentiment. Historical examples show GDP declines often correlate with reduced S&P 500 performance.

How important is it?

GDP data directly reflects economic health, impacting S&P 500 sentiment and investment decisions. The high level of correlation historically indicates that market reactions will follow closely.

Why Short Term?

Immediate market reactions to GDP data tend to be swift. Investors adjust quickly to economic outlook adjustments.

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