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Wall Street still sees two rate cuts this year, but conviction is getting weaker, CNBC survey finds

1. Expectations for Fed rate cuts reduced, inflation outlook mixed. 2. 65% forecast two rate cuts in 2025, down from 78%. 3. Tariffs seen as inflationary; deregulation viewed positively for growth. 4. Economic growth outlook is positive despite inflation concerns. 5. Recession probability dropped to 23%, showing improved sentiment.

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FAQ

Why Neutral?

Mixed signals on inflation and Fed policy can lead to market uncertainty, similar to 2018.

How important is it?

Insights on Fed policy and inflation directly affect market performance.

Why Short Term?

Immediate reactions expected as market digests monetary policy changes, akin to past Fed meetings.

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