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137 days

Wanna Bet on a Recession This Year? You Can Do Exactly That

1. Trump's tariffs caused market downturn and heightened recession fears. 2. Economists revised GDP forecasts downward, increasing recession probability. 3. Polymarket’s recession odds rose to 56%, Kalshi's to 60%. 4. Investors are actively placing bets on recession outcomes.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

Heightened recession risks and tariff implications can negatively impact S&P 500 performance, similar to prior tariffs leading to market declines in 2018.

How important is it?

As tariffs and recession fears influence investor sentiment, the S&P 500 is directly affected by economic conditions.

Why Short Term?

Immediate market reactions are likely as recession fears grow; longer-term effects depend on economic recovery.

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