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Why the Apollo economist who coined ‘no-landing’ now sees intensifying risks to the U.S. economy - MarketWatch

1. S&P 500 rebounded slightly after Friday's 1.7% drop. 2. Economic anxiety and tariff uncertainty intensified market fears. 3. DOGE and government layoffs raise concerns about rising unemployment. 4. Analysts note weakened S&P 500 performance with struggles above 6,100. 5. VIX events and narrow credit spreads hint at near-term market weakness.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

The article highlights concerns like tariff uncertainty, potential massive layoffs, and a pattern of false breakouts. Similar episodes in the past, such as during periods of policy uncertainty, led to notable market corrections.

How important is it?

The article aggregates several economic risks that could trigger a market pullback, particularly for the S&P 500. While underlying data remains strong, uncertainties from policy and employment changes are critical risk factors.

Why Short Term?

The immediate focus on option expirations, rising jobless claims, and market technicals suggest short-term pressure. Historical instances show that such tensions usually manifest within weeks.

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