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Why the Stock Market Might Not Have a Very Happy New Year

1. Options trading indicates a 10% chance of a market drop in 2026. 2. 57% of Deutsche Bank survey respondents fear a tech bubble burst. 3. S&P 500 shows near-term weakness, closing below its 50-day moving average. 4. Market sentiment is low despite earlier optimism for 2026 growth. 5. Recent trends challenge the likelihood of a year-end Santa rally.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

Technical indicators and market sentiments suggest potential declines, historically linking SPY drops to bearish signals.

How important is it?

The article highlights risks and technical weaknesses that can directly impact SPY performance.

Why Short Term?

Near-term technical analysis suggests weakness could lead to immediate price effects for SPY.

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