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Even with high tariffs, Trump's trade war suddenly is starting to look not so scary on Wall Street

1. U.S. tariffs settle between 15%-20%, easing recession fears. 2. Economists lowered recession risk from 60% to 40% due to tariffs. 3. Expectations of slow growth but not a recession dominate market sentiment. 4. Fed likely to discuss tariff impact but rates expected to remain steady. 5. Overall trade conditions show signs of opening rather than escalating tariffs.

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FAQ

Why Bullish?

The reduction in recession fears combined with stable tariffs promotes economic stability. Historical savings in tariffs have previously led to positive market responses, indicating potential for a bullish impact.

How important is it?

Softening tariff impacts can enhance growth prospects for S&P 500 companies, thus affecting stock prices. Historical context shows that clear tariff guidelines tend to support investor confidence, increasing stock value.

Why Short Term?

Immediate tariff resolutions affect current market sentiment; longer-term can vary based on international relations and economic developments. For instance, short-lived tariff negotiations in past years often briefly boosted market confidence.

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