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Exclusive | Visa and Mastercard Near Deal With Merchants That Would Change Rewards Landscape

1. Visa and Mastercard near a settlement on credit card interchange fees. 2. Proposed settlement would reduce fees by about 0.1 percentage points over years. 3. Merchants gain ability to reject higher-fee rewards cards under new rules. 4. Previous settlements faced legal challenges; new deal may address surcharging. 5. High interchange fees totaled $72 billion for Visa and Mastercard issuers in 2023.

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Why Neutral?

While lowering interchange fees could help consumers, it poses challenges for merchants that may impact overall retail spending. Historical examples show such legal battles often lead to mixed outcomes for stock prices, affecting investor sentiment.

How important is it?

The article highlights ongoing legal disputes and potential shifts in credit card use impacting broader consumer spending trends, which matter for SPY as a proxy for the retail sector. Market sentiment could fluctuate as merchants reevaluate acceptance strategies.

Why Short Term?

The expected settlement could lead to immediate shifts in consumer spending patterns at the register, impacting SPY within a short timeframe. However, long-term effects depend on consumer response to changing acceptance rules.

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