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Fed holds rates steady as it notes rising uncertainty and stagflation risk

1. Federal Reserve keeps interest rates steady amid economic uncertainty. 2. Risks of higher unemployment and inflation acknowledged in policy statement. 3. Tariffs may trigger stagflation, impacting economic growth and price stability. 4. GDP fell 0.3% in Q1, but Wall Street expects recovery in Q2. 5. Recent negotiation progress has calmed drastic market sell-offs.

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FAQ

Why Neutral?

While the Fed's decision keeps rates stable, tariff uncertainties persist, creating a complex economic landscape. Historically, similar Fed holds in uncertain environments have led to mixed stock market reactions, such as during the 2018-2019 rate pause amidst trade tensions.

How important is it?

The Fed's decision and concerns over tariffs impact overall economic sentiment, directly influencing S&P 500. With the correlation between interest rates and equities, this news holds substantial weight.

Why Short Term?

The current dynamics, especially regarding tariffs, suggest volatility that may affect market sentiment until clarity emerges. Short-term anticipations about Fed rate cuts could sway market movements over the next few months depending on evolving economic signals.

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