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New York Post
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Fed's preferred inflation gauge cools to lowest level since September — calming rattled markets

1. PCE index fell to 2.1%, calming market fears despite trade tensions. 2. Core PCE prices dropped to 2.5%, a four-year low, signaling easing inflation. 3. Rising consumer caution in April points to potential slowdown in spending. 4. Uncertainty over tariffs persists despite recent court rulings impacting market dynamics. 5. Fed likely to hold rates steady as they assess tariff impacts on inflation.

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FAQ

Why Bullish?

The cooling inflation and lower core PCE could alleviate pressure on interest rates, which has historically supported equity markets. For instance, in 2019, similar easing led to a recovery in the S&P 500.

How important is it?

The article discusses key inflation indicators and economic policies that directly influence investor sentiment and market conditions, making it relevant for S&P 500 performance.

Why Short Term?

The immediate effects from the latest data may prompt market adjustments in the coming weeks, especially as traders anticipate Fed actions. Historical data shows markets react quickly to inflationary trends, such as in 2020 when positive shifts spurred rapid market gains.

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