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Global trade outlook has 'deteriorated sharply' amid Trump tariff uncertainty, WTO warns

1. WTO warns of sharply deteriorating global trade outlook due to tariffs. 2. World merchandise trade projected to decline by 0.2% in 2025. 3. North American exports forecast to drop by 12.6% this year. 4. U.S. reciprocal tariffs could worsen global trade by additional 1.5%. 5. China's exports expected to rise by 4% to 9% as trade shifts.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

Increased tariffs and trade tensions historically lead to market downturns, such as in 2019. The expected decline in trade volumes suggests reduced corporate earnings for S&P 500 companies reliant on exports.

How important is it?

The article discusses significant trade disruptions affecting economic growth, directly influencing S&P 500 sectors heavily reliant on trade.

Why Short Term?

Immediate effects will likely manifest in S&P 500 companies' earnings next quarter, particularly those engaged in international trade.

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