Opinion: Why ‘Trump Turmoil’ has made a U.S. recession much more likely - MarketWatch
1. Odds of a tariff-induced recession raised to 35% from 20%. 2. Investor confidence shaken by Trump's tariffs and job cuts. 3. S&P 500 forecasted to reach 7,000 by year-end if trade war stabilizes. 4. Expectations for economic growth revised downward amidst increased uncertainty. 5. Tariffs expected to elevate inflation, impacting consumer spending.