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Prediction market traders bet 'the Kevins' are Trump's Fed chair picks

1. Trump hints at appointing Kevin Hassett or Warsh as Fed Chairman. 2. Hassett's odds at 48%, with Warsh at 29% for the position. 3. Both candidates favor lower interest rates to support the economy. 4. Current Chair Powell's term ends in May; changes could impact policy. 5. Kugler's resignation may lead to a new governor aligned with Trump.

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Why Bullish?

The prospect of lower interest rates from a new Fed Chair could stimulate economic growth, benefitting S&P 500. Historically, lower rates have led to increased market confidence, driving equity prices higher.

How important is it?

The article details potential changes in Fed leadership which could lead to monetary policies that favor market growth. Given the Fed's significant influence over economic conditions, any shift could be critical for investor sentiment and S&P 500 performance.

Why Short Term?

The immediate potential for a leadership change at the Fed may influence market sentiment in the near term, especially as Powell's term concludes in May.

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