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The Fed evidently isn’t too concerned about inflation — but just wait until next year

1. The Fed lowered the policy rate to 4%-4.25%. Rate cuts may continue into 2026. 2. Deteriorating payroll gains indicate a weakening labor market, adding volatility risk. 3. Core PCE inflation remains high, risking further tightening from the Fed next year. 4. Consumer spending shows strength, countering inflation concerns but may pressure rates. 5. Expectations of rate cuts could limit economic growth potential in upcoming years.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

High inflation and Fed's dovish stance could lead to a volatile market. Historical instances show that rate cuts can initially weaken investor confidence, especially when inflation persists.

How important is it?

The article discusses critical economic factors directly affecting the stock market, including interest rates and inflation, which significantly influence SPY.

Why Short Term?

Immediate implications of Fed's actions may create short-term volatility in SPY, similar to past rate cut cycles where investor sentiment quickly reacts.

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