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With the economic tumult, a serious concern has emerged: stagflation

1. Tariffs raise concerns about stagflation and economic slowdown in the U.S. 2. GDP contracted by 0.3% in Q1 2025, the first quarterly decline since 2022. 3. Uncertainty from tariffs affects business investments and consumer price expectations. 4. Stagflation poses challenges for Federal Reserve's dual mandate of stable prices and employment. 5. Economic dislocation could persist if tariff policies remain unclear.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

Stagflation poses a risk to economic growth, impacting investor sentiment adversely. Historical concerns about inflation and economic stagnation have led to market corrections.

How important is it?

Key economic indicators have shown negative trends, increasing the likelihood of a bearish impact on S&P 500. Investors react strongly to concerns regarding inflation and GDP contraction.

Why Short Term?

Immediate impacts due to heightened uncertainty around tariffs could depress market activity. As clarity increases, the impact may lessen but short-term sentiment remains fragile.

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